Snow likely next week

School Forecast
for Monday February 12th
Last updated: 11:45PM Friday February 9, 2024

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10:45PM Friday Update

It has been a lackluster winter so far here in the Hudson Valley. So far this winter, Kingston has picked up about 14.5 inches of snow. This is well below normal for this point in the year. The lack of snow has been due to warmer than normal temperatures. Since December 1st, the average temperature at the Dutchess County Airport has been 34.7°F. This ties for the third warmest start to winter since 1949, and is on par with the lack luster winters of 2012 and 2016. Both of those years also had strong El Nino weather patterns, and it is not surprising that the current El Nino has impacted this winter. This winter has also been the wettest since 1974 with just over 12 inches of precipitation having fallen - roughy 90% of this has been rain.

The Forecast:
With all that seasonal context said, a potential snow event currently poses a threat for early next week. Like the past several weeks, this weekend will be relatively mild with temperatures approaching 50 degrees on Saturday and Sunday afternoons. Normally afternoon temperatures this time of year should be in the mid-30s. It'll be cloudy Saturday and Sunday, but should remain mainly dry. By Monday, a storm system that is currently over the northwestern US will be approaching New York. Temperatures Monday are likely to reach the 40s during the afternoon before dropping to near 30 after sunset. Currently, snow is likely to develop after 7PM Monday. Snow is likely Monday night with temperatures remaining near 30. Snow Tuesday morning is likely to taper off by Tuesday afternoon. At this time, accumulating snow appears likely, however, it is too early for exact amounts. Dry and cooler weather is likely to linger through the end of next week.

The Impacts:
The impacts of next week's storm will depend on the track of the storm and how much snow eventually falls. That being said, some accumulating snow is currently likely between Monday night and Tuesday evening, impacting roadways. This timing, if it holds, is not likely to impact school classes on Monday, but may impact after school activities. This timing, is also likely to result in school cancellations on Tuesday, or possibly school delays if the storm ends much faster than currently expected and only drops a limited amount of snow. Any lingering affects into Wednesday will depend on how much snow falls on Tuesday - currently, a very low chance of delays on Wednesday.

Next Update:
Saturday

-Ethan